Nassim Nicholas Taleb Quotes About Belief
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My point taken further is that True and False (hence what we call "belief") play a poor, secondary role in human decisions; it is the payoff from the True and the False that dominates-and it is almost always asymmetric, with one consequence much bigger than the other, i.e., harboring positive and negative asymmetries (fragile or antifragile). Let me explain.
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Probability is not about the odds, but about the belief in the existence of an alternative outcome, cause, or motive.
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Scientists don't know what they are talking about when they talk about religion. Religion has nothing to do with belief, and I don't believe it has any negative impact on people's lives outside of intolerance. Why do I go to church? It's like asking, why did you marry that woman? You make up reasons, but it's probably just smell. I love the smell of candles. It's an aesthetic thing.
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Restaurants get you in with food to sell you liquor; religions get you in with belief to sell you rules.
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Scientists may be in the business of laughing at their predecessors, but owing to an array of human mental dispositions, few realize that someone will laugh at their beliefs in the (disappointingly near) future.
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Doctors most commonly get mixed up between absence of evidence and evidence of abense
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If you let markets - in general, my belief is that if you let markets give you information, they'll give you the information rather than artificially prop up everything.
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Rank beliefs not according to their plausibility but by the harm they may cause.
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